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88

VOLUME 13 NUMBER 2 • DECEMBER 2016

REVIEW

SA JOURNAL OF DIABETES & VASCULAR DISEASE

Epidemiology of ischaemic heart disease in sub-Saharan

Africa

CHURCHILL LUKWIYA ONEN

Correspondence to: Churchill Lukwiya Onen

Centre for Chronic Diseases, Gaborone, Botswana

E-mail:

onenkede@info.bw

Previously published in

Cardiovasc J Afr

2013;

24

: 34–42

S Afr J Diabetes Vasc Dis

2015;

13

: 88–96

Abstract

Background:

The epidemiology of ischaemic heart disease

(IHD) in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) remains largely enigmatic.

Major obstacles to our understanding of the condition include

lack of reliable health statistics, particularly cause, specific

mortality data, inadequate diagnostic capabilities, shortage

of physicians and cardiologists, and misguided opinions.

Methods:

This review of the epidemiology of ischaemic

heart disease in sub-Saharan Africa involved a systematic

bibliographicMEDLINE search of published data on IHD in SSA

over the past century. Search words included epidemiology,

ischaemic (coronary) heart disease, myocardial infarction,

cardiovascular risk factors and sub-Saharan Africa. Selected

data are presented on the prevalence of cardiovascular risk

factors and mortality from ischaemic heart disease from

different countries representing the main regions of the

continent.

Results:

Although IHD in SSA remains relatively uncommon,

its prevalence is predicted to rise in the next two decades

due to the rising prevalence of risk factors, especially

hypertension, diabetes, overweight and obesity, physical

inactivity, increased tobacco use and dyslipidaemia. It is

estimated that age-standardised mortality rates for IHD will

rise by 27% in African men and 25% in women by 2015, and

by 70 and 74%, respectively by 2030.

Conclusion:

Ischaemic heart disease remains relatively

uncommon in SSA, despite an increasing prevalence of risk

factors, but its incidence is rising. The pace and direction of

economic development, rates of urbanisation, and changes in

life expectancy resulting from the impact of pre-transitional

diseases and violence will be major determinants of the

IHD epidemic in SSA. The best window of opportunity for

prevention of the emerging epidemic of ischaemic heart

disease in sub-Saharan Africa is now.

Keywords:

epidemiology, ischaemic heart disease, sub-Saharan

Africa

‘a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma’

1 October, 1939

Sir Winston Churchill, British orator, author and Prime Minister

(1874–1965)

Over a century ago, Sir Winston Churchill, a renowned British

statesman and leader during the Second World War (WWII), made

a celebrated visit to Uganda, where he was so moved as to describe

it as ‘the Pearl of Africa’. Sir Winston, referring to the quality of

intelligence gathered by Western allies during WWII, called Russia a

‘riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma’.

While the same phrase could be used today to describe the

epidemiology of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) in sub-Saharan

Africa (SSA) because of many puzzles and lingering myths, what is

enigmatic is the contempt with which the potential threat of IHD

has been treated at various levels of health sectors, governments

and international agencies. A recent change in posture by World

Health Organisation (WHO) Regional Office for Africa, with greater

focus on non-communicable disease (NCD), and the United Nations

high-level meeting on NCD prevention and control in New York on

19–20 September 2011 are good indicators of the recognition of

the importance of NCDs and the rapidly unfolding epidemiological

landscape catalysed by the birth of conjoined twins, infectious

diseases and non-communicable diseases.

The 30th anniversary of the Pan-African Society of Cardiology

(PASCAR) conference along with the Third All-Africa Conference on

Heart Disease, Diabetes and Stroke took place at Munyonyo Speke

Resort in Kampala on the shores of Lake Victoria in May 2011. The

warmth of the land, the gentle tropical rain showers interspersed

with bright sunshine, and above all, the friendliness of Ugandans

must have pervaded the hearts of most foreign delegates to the

conference.

This review article will focus on some of the obstacles to our

understanding of IHD in SSA. A synopsis of cardiovascular risk

factors and their role in IHD in SSA, and selected mortality data

on IHD from various countries across the continent are presented

in this article. A plea for urgent and concerted action to avert the

impending epidemic of IHD in SSA is made.

Obstacles to our understanding of IHD in SSA

Major obstacles to our understanding of IHD in SSA include lack of

reliable statistics on health, life expectancy and disease incidence,

and the absence of cause-specific mortality data. This is confounded

by lack of diagnostic capabilities in most of SSA, emanating from

a shortage of physicians, particularly cardiologists, and lack of

appropriateinvestigations,suchasresting12-leadelectrocardiographs

(ECGs), exercise ECGs, cardiac biomarkers (troponins, CKMB) and

cardiac imaging such as echocardiography, coronary angiography,

computed tomography (CT) angiography, intravascular ultrasound

scans (IVUS) and radionuclide myocardial perfusion studies.

Resting 12-lead ECGs, although generally more widely available

and relatively inexpensive, have limited sensitivity and specificity

for the diagnosis of acute coronary syndromes. Furthermore, there

are high rates of non-specific ST-segment and T-wave changes

suggestive of myocardial ischaemia in up to 10% of asymptomatic

African men and 20% of women over the age of 40 years.

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